Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.237338e-05 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080
2025-04-06 2.334220e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095
2025-04-13 1.653300e-05 0.000024 0.000034 0.000047 0.000062 0.000081 0.000104
2025-04-20 1.249954e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000045 0.000063 0.000086 0.000115
2025-04-27 9.925056e-06 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000066 0.000092 0.000128
2025-05-04 8.295010e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000045 0.000069 0.000100 0.000142
2025-05-11 7.620207e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000048 0.000076 0.000112 0.000163
2025-05-18 6.625414e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000121 0.000179
2025-05-25 4.904943e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000078 0.000122 0.000184
2025-06-01 3.753836e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000077 0.000124 0.000190
2025-06-08 3.069183e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000079 0.000129 0.000202
2025-06-15 2.497524e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000044 0.000080 0.000134 0.000213
2025-06-22 1.768862e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000043 0.000081 0.000139 0.000227
2025-06-29 1.152944e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000041 0.000081 0.000143 0.000238
2025-07-06 6.428799e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000037 0.000078 0.000143 0.000244
2025-07-13 3.816831e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000036 0.000078 0.000147 0.000256
2025-07-20 2.379539e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000153 0.000271
2025-07-27 1.604349e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000162 0.000292
2025-08-03 1.367730e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000039 0.000091 0.000178 0.000322
2025-08-10 9.527202e-08 0.000002 0.000013 0.000040 0.000095 0.000189 0.000346
2025-08-17 3.531374e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000093 0.000189 0.000351
2025-08-24 1.178173e-08 0.000001 0.000010 0.000035 0.000092 0.000191 0.000360
2025-08-31 4.147614e-09 0.000001 0.000009 0.000035 0.000093 0.000198 0.000377